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Risk Analysis Tool

Rate Lock Analyzer

Should you lock in a fixed rate or stay variable? Model different interest rate scenarios to understand your risk and potential savings.

Historical Context

Rates Are Volatile

Over the last decade, prime rates have fluctuated significantly. A variable rate HELOC exposes you to this volatility, while a fixed rate offers stability.

2014: 3.25%
14
2015: 3.5%
15
2016: 3.75%
16
2017: 4.5%
17
2018: 5.5%
18
2019: 4.75%
19
2020: 3.25%
20
2021: 3.25%
21
2022: 7.5%
22
2023: 8.5%
23
2024: 8%
24
Scenario Inputs

Usually higher than variable start rate

Maximum possible rate (check contract)

Fixed Rate Option

Guaranteed stability

$396/mo

Total Cost: $47,500

Best Case
Rates drop 0.5%/yr

$31,250

Save $16,250 vs Fixed

Likely Case
Rates stay flat

$42,500

Save $5,000 vs Fixed

Worst Case
Rates rise 1.5%/yr

$85,250

Pay $37,750 more vs Fixed

Risk Assessment

Worst Case Payment Shock

Highest possible monthly payment in worst scenario

$750/mo

+$354 vs Fixed

Recommendation

Consider Locking (High risk of rate increases)

If you cannot afford a payment of $750, locking a fixed rate is strongly recommended for safety.

Understanding Rate Risk

Most HELOCs come with variable interest rates that change with the Prime Rate. While these rates often start lower than fixed-rate loans, they can increase significantly over time.

Variable Rate Pros & Cons

  • Lower initial interest rate
  • Payments drop if rates fall
  • Payments rise if rates increase
  • Unpredictable monthly budget

Fixed Rate Pros & Cons

  • Predictable monthly payments
  • Protection against rate hikes
  • Higher initial interest rate
  • No benefit if rates fall

The Hybrid Option

Many modern HELOCs allow you to "lock" a portion of your balance into a fixed rate while keeping the rest variable. This gives you the best of both worlds.

Ask About Hybrid HELOCs